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HDFC Bank Ltd (NSE: HDFCBANK) – Technical Analysis
India’s largest private sector bank: trend, momentum, support and resistance, Fibonacci and volume analysis with cross-checked market data
HDFC Bank (NSE: HDFCBANK) technical analysis as on 06 Nov 2026 shows the stock at ₹788.25, a six-session rebound of about 17.8% from its 52-week low of ₹669.20. This HDFC Bank share price outlook covers trend, moving averages, RSI, MACD, support and resistance, Fibonacci levels, volume and delivery data, with each figure cross-checked across sources.
Price Action & Trend
| Date | Close (₹) | Change | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct 2026 | 692.80* | — | Derived from the 1-week change |
| 02 Nov 2026 | 700.00 | +1.04% | Close near day high |
| 03 Nov 2026 | 725.50 | +3.64% | Volume 44.37M shares |
| 04 Nov 2026 | 736.70 | +1.54%* | Close from prior-close table |
| 05 Nov 2026 | 760.00 | +3.16% | Fifth straight gain |
| 06 Nov 2026 | 788.25 | +3.72% | Closed at day high; ~76.0M shares |
HDFC Bank touched a 52-week low of ₹669.20 on 28 Oct 2026, a day after Anup Bagchi took charge as MD & CEO, and has since recovered about 17.8%*. The stock has closed higher in six consecutive sessions, adding roughly 13.8% in a week, and the 06 Nov candle closed at its high on heavy volume. The bounce is sharp, but the stock still trades about 22.5%* below its 52-week high of ₹1,017.50, so the larger downtrend is being repaired rather than reversed.
Moving Averages
| SMA | Value (₹) | Price above by | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-day | 742.1 | +6.2% | Bullish |
| 10-day | 714.0 | +10.4% | Bullish |
| 20-day | 711.9 | +10.7% | Bullish |
| 30-day | 712.9 | +10.6% | Bullish |
| 50-day | 713.7 | +10.4% | Bullish |
| 100-day | 740.8 | +6.4% | Bullish |
| 150-day | 751.5 | +4.9% | Bullish |
| 200-day | 784.6 | +0.5% | Bullish (marginal) |
The price is above all eight tracked SMAs. The 20-, 30- and 50-day averages are bunched within ₹711.9–713.7, the base of the October consolidation, and form the deepest support cluster. The 200-day SMA at ₹784.6 is cleared by only 0.5%, and 06 Nov is the first close above it in the six sessions reviewed, so a hold above it would need confirmation over coming sessions. The stock is also 10.4% above its 50-day SMA, a stretch that has historically invited consolidation. With the 50-day SMA still below the 100-, 150- and 200-day SMAs, the longer-term stacking remains bearish.
Momentum Indicators (RSI, MACD, Stochastic, ADX)
| Indicator | Reading | Zone | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 73.9 | Overbought (>70) | Strong momentum; pullback risk |
| MACD (12,26,9) / Signal | 8.6 / −1.2 | Above signal & zero | Bullish; histogram about +9.8* |
| Stochastic / Stoch RSI | 96.9 / 100 | Overbought | Stretched short-term |
| MFI (14) | 58.3 | Mid-range | Money flow positive, not extreme |
| CCI (20) | 237.9 | Above +100 | Strong, stretched upside move |
| Awesome / Ultimate Oscillator | 19.2 / 79.5 | Positive / high | Bullish momentum |
| ADX (14) | 21.2 | Below 25 | Trend strength not yet established |
| ROC (21) / ROC (125) | +12.2% / +0.95% | Positive | Short-term surge, flat 6-month trend |
| ATR (14) | ₹17.5 | ≈2.2% of price | Typical daily swing |
| Beta vs Nifty 50 (1M / 3M / 1Y) | 1.33 / 1.12 / 1.24 | Above 1 | Amplifies index moves |
| Composite momentum score | 52.3 | Neutral (35–70) | Mixed overall technical score |
RSI at 73.9, Stochastic RSI at 100 and CCI at 237.9 all signal an overbought short-term reading, which often precedes a pause or pullback, although strong recoveries can stay overbought for several sessions. MACD is above both its signal line and zero, a bullish momentum signal. ADX at 21.2 is below 25, meaning the move is momentum-led rather than a confirmed trend. With ATR near ₹17.5 and a 1-month beta of 1.33, daily swings of ₹15–20 would be normal and the stock may amplify Nifty moves.
Support, Resistance & Pivot Levels
Support zones
Resistance zones
Pivot points by method
| Level | Classic | Woodie | Camarilla | Fibonacci |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance 3 | 833.85 | 815.70 | 797.65 | 811.05 |
| Resistance 2 | 811.05 | 801.98 | 794.52 | 797.99 |
| Resistance 1 | 799.65 | 781.50 | 791.38 | 789.91 |
| Pivot point | 776.85 | 767.78 | 776.85 | 776.85 |
| Support 1 | 765.45 | 747.30 | 785.12 | 763.79 |
| Support 2 | 742.65 | 733.58 | 781.98 | 755.71 |
| Support 3 | 731.25 | 713.10 | 778.85 | 742.65 |
The 06 Nov close sits above the classic pivot of ₹776.85, which keeps near-term bias positive while it holds. Overhead, ₹799.65–802.24 is the first supply area, and ₹843 is a notable confluence because the 6-month high of ₹843.00 coincides with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Fibonacci Retracement
| Retracement | Price (₹) | Position vs CMP |
|---|---|---|
| 0% (52-week low) | 669.20 | CMP +17.8% above |
| 23.6% | 751.40 | -4.7% from CMP |
| 38.2% | 802.25 | +1.8% from CMP |
| 50.0% | 843.35 | +7.0% from CMP |
| 61.8% | 884.45 | +12.2% from CMP |
| 78.6% | 942.96 | +19.6% from CMP |
| 100% (52-week high) | 1017.50 | +29.1% from CMP |
Measured from the 52-week low of ₹669.20 to the high of ₹1,017.50, the stock has retraced above the 23.6% level at ₹751.40 and now trades between it and the 38.2% level at ₹802.24. A sustained close above ₹802 would shift attention toward the 50% level near ₹843, while a slide back under ₹751 would put the recovery in question.
Multi-Timeframe Range & Returns
Short windows look strong, with +13.78% in a week and +10.79% in a month, but the 1-year change is −19.95% and the 5-year change is only −1.10%. Over five years the stock has gone almost nowhere, and the 5-year low of ₹635.80 is only about 5% below the 52-week low, which makes the ₹669 area a long-term support to monitor.
Volume & Delivery Analysis
| Measure | Value |
|---|---|
| Volume, 06 Nov (NSE+BSE) | ~76.0M shares |
| Volume, 03 Nov | 44.37M shares |
| 1-month average daily volume (NSE) | ~30.1M shares |
| 06 Nov volume vs 1-month average | ~2.5x (indicative)* |
| Delivery % — day / week / month | 62.99% / 62.45% / 58.98% |
Volume on 06 Nov was about 2.5 times the one-month average, a high-volume session, and the delivery share of 62.99% is about four percentage points above the one-month average of 58.98%. Heavier delivery alongside a breakout candle suggests buying by investors rather than purely intraday traders. The comparison is indicative because the volume figures use different exchange bases.
News & Sentiment Overlay
Supportive factors
- Anup Bagchi took charge as MD & CEO on 27 Oct 2026 for a three-year term, ending the leadership uncertainty.
- Nifty Bank rose about 2% on 05 Nov in a broad rally, with crude oil slipping below $100 a barrel.
- Compiled brokerage data shows 38 of 40 analysts rating the stock buy or higher, with a median target of ₹972.
- The stock is a 11–13% Nifty 50 weight and a 26–29% Bank Nifty weight, so index support can amplify recoveries.
Cautionary factors
- The stock is down about 28.8% year to date against about 13.7% for the Nifty 50, a wide relative underperformance.
- The CEO pay package of ₹35.9 crore awaited a shareholder vote closing 06 Nov, and the result had not been reported in sources reviewed.
- Post-merger margin pressure, slower growth and deposit challenges have been cited as headwinds.
- A US securities class action against the bank and two executives was reported earlier in the downtrend.
Technical overlay: the sentiment improvement explains the speed of the rebound, but the rally has run ahead of trend confirmation (ADX 21.2) and sits on overbought oscillators, so the technical read is treated as constructive but stretched.
Technical Scenarios
Bear case
₹712–742A daily close below ₹742 (S2, 5-DMA, 100-DMA) may open a retest of the ₹712–714 SMA cluster, and a break there would expose the ₹669.20 low.
Base case
₹765–800Consolidation that digests the overbought readings, with dips toward ₹765–777 and the 200-DMA near ₹785 acting as the pivot of the range.
Bull case
₹802–843A close above ₹802 on strong volume may open ₹811, ₹834 and the ₹843 confluence of the 6-month high and 50% retracement.
These are technical reference levels, not price targets or predictions, and no probabilities are assigned.
Technical Scorecard
| Signal group | Reading | Bias |
|---|---|---|
| Price vs moving averages | Above 8 of 8 SMAs | Bullish |
| Long-term structure | 50-DMA still below 100/150/200-DMA | Repairing |
| MACD / candlestick | Above signal; Closing Marubozu | Bullish |
| RSI / Stochastic / CCI | Overbought cluster | Cautious |
| Trend strength (ADX) | 21.2, below 25 | Neutral |
| Volume & delivery | High volume, delivery above 1-month average | Supportive |
| Fibonacci position | Between 23.6% and 38.2% | Neutral |
| Overall (short term) | Strong bounce, stretched | Bullish but overbought |
| Overall (medium term) | Below 52-week high by ~22.5%; base forming | Neutral |
Data Points & Values Used
| Data point | Value used | Remarks |
|---|---|---|
| Closing price, 06 Nov 2026 | ₹788.25 | Last traded price at the close; a gain of ₹28.25 (+3.72%) over the previous close of ₹760.00. |
| Day open / range | ₹764.40 / ₹754.05–788.25 | The close at the day high, well above the open, forms a full-bodied bullish candle with no upper shadow. |
| 52-week low / high | ₹669.20 / ₹1,017.50 | Lowest and highest traded prices of the trailing 52 weeks; used as anchors for Fibonacci levels. Price is 17.8% above the low and 22.5% below the high (788.25 ÷ 669.20 and 788.25 ÷ 1,017.50). |
| Closing prices, 02–05 Nov | ₹700.00 / 725.50 / 736.70 / 760.00 | Daily closes; each percentage change is the close divided by the prior close (for example 760.00 ÷ 736.70 = +3.16%). |
| Close, 30 Oct 2026 | ₹692.80 | Derived: the 1-week gain of ₹95.45 subtracted from the 06 Nov close (788.25 − 95.45). |
| 1-week change | +13.78% | Close of 788.25 divided by the 30 Oct close of 692.80, minus 1. |
| 5-day SMA | ₹742.1 | Average of the last five closes: (700.00 + 725.50 + 736.70 + 760.00 + 788.25) ÷ 5 = 742.09. |
| 50-day / 200-day SMA | ₹713.7 / ₹784.6 | Average closing price over the last 50 and 200 sessions; 3 Nov values of 714.30 and 783.10 show only a small drift, as expected for slow averages. |
| Price above each SMA | +0.5% to +10.7% | Close of 788.25 divided by each SMA value, minus 1; a larger gap means a more stretched move. |
| 1-year change | −19.95% | Close of 788.25 against the price one year earlier (about ₹984.65). Other providers show up to −22.8% because they use a different base date. |
| RSI (14), Stochastic, MFI, CCI, ADX, MACD | As tabled | Standard end-of-day indicators on their usual settings (RSI above 70 and Stochastic above 80 read as overbought, ADX below 25 as a weak trend). Taken from one data feed, so treated as indicative. |
| Classic pivot point | ₹776.85 | Average of the day high, low and close: (788.25 + 754.05 + 788.25) ÷ 3. Supports and resistances are projected from it. |
| Fibonacci levels | ₹751.40 to ₹942.96 | Low + ratio × range, where the range is 1,017.50 − 669.20 = ₹348.30 (for example 23.6%: 669.20 + 0.236 × 348.30 = 751.40). |
| Volume / delivery | ~76.0M shares / 62.99% | About 2.5 times the one-month average of about 30.1M shares; indicative because the two figures use different exchange bases. Delivery is the share of traded volume taken for delivery. |
| Market capitalisation | ≈₹12.1 lakh cr | Estimated: about 15.37 billion shares multiplied by the close of ₹788.25. |
| Data date | 06 Nov 2026 close | Markets were closed on 07–08 Nov 2026, so the latest session is used; live figures may differ. |
Each figure used in this report is listed with the logic behind it, so readers can reproduce the numbers. Figures that are recomputed or derived can be rebuilt from the closing prices and the 52-week high and low shown above. Figures marked * are derived, not quoted.
Final Summary
Final Summary
Trend and momentum. HDFC Bank at ₹788.25 (as on 06 Nov 2026) has risen about 17.8% from its 52-week low in six sessions and trades above all eight moving averages, with MACD bullish and a Closing Marubozu on heavy volume. Against that, RSI (73.9), Stochastic RSI (100) and CCI (237.9) are overbought, ADX (21.2) shows no confirmed trend, and the 50-day average remains below the 200-day.
Levels that matter. The 200-DMA near ₹785, the pivot at ₹776.85 and the ₹742–752 confluence may be viewed as the support ladder, while ₹800–802, ₹811–834 and ₹843 form the resistance ladder. A close above ₹802 would be regarded as constructive, and a close below ₹742 as a sign that the rebound is fading.
What a reader may consider. Readers may prefer to watch whether the stock holds above its 200-day average on a weekly closing basis and whether volume stays elevated on advances, since a pause after a 13.8% weekly gain would be a common outcome. Position sizing, time horizon and valuation context would be relevant alongside the chart. This is not investment advice.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the key support and resistance levels for HDFC Bank share price?
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Disclaimer: This report is for educational and informational purposes only and is not investment advice. Zumedha Insights is not a SEBI-registered investment adviser. Equity investments are subject to market risk, and data is from third-party sources and may be dated. Consult a registered adviser before investing. Full disclaimer
